Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006919 0.007736 0.008628 0.009676 0.010877 0.012214 0.013821
2025-04-13 0.005464 0.006538 0.007806 0.009427 0.011460 0.013943 0.017241
2025-04-20 0.004735 0.005922 0.007400 0.009398 0.012062 0.015540 0.020502
2025-04-27 0.004349 0.005639 0.007319 0.009701 0.013049 0.017675 0.024713
2025-05-04 0.003941 0.005264 0.007048 0.009680 0.013546 0.019158 0.028180
2025-05-11 0.003640 0.004990 0.006871 0.009744 0.014141 0.020815 0.032121
2025-05-18 0.003341 0.004684 0.006608 0.009639 0.014446 0.022042 0.035532
2025-05-25 0.003143 0.004503 0.006502 0.009747 0.015077 0.023840 0.040158
2025-06-01 0.002927 0.004273 0.006297 0.009672 0.015389 0.025134 0.044081
2025-06-08 0.002678 0.003972 0.005954 0.009336 0.015218 0.025558 0.046435
2025-06-15 0.002535 0.003822 0.005837 0.009356 0.015654 0.027103 0.051199
2025-06-22 0.002475 0.003799 0.005916 0.009713 0.016724 0.029949 0.059102
2025-06-29 0.002282 0.003551 0.005619 0.009403 0.016569 0.030499 0.062400
2025-07-06 0.002115 0.003337 0.005362 0.009146 0.016493 0.031215 0.066263
2025-07-13 0.002004 0.003207 0.005239 0.009119 0.016855 0.032871 0.072640
2025-07-20 0.001953 0.003177 0.005286 0.009411 0.017889 0.036104 0.083593
2025-07-27 0.001860 0.003065 0.005176 0.009390 0.018272 0.037957 0.091455
2025-08-03 0.001786 0.002982 0.005113 0.009452 0.018836 0.040307 0.101227
2025-08-10 0.001696 0.002865 0.004975 0.009351 0.019026 0.041797 0.108932
2025-08-17 0.001640 0.002804 0.004940 0.009456 0.019691 0.044552 0.121114
2025-08-24 0.001566 0.002705 0.004825 0.009383 0.019937 0.046288 0.130618
2025-08-31 0.001468 0.002556 0.004602 0.009059 0.019550 0.046311 0.134580
2025-09-07 0.001415 0.002491 0.004540 0.009078 0.019995 0.048643 0.147018